Civil Service Exam Reviewer · Logical Reasoning · easy

Statement: "Bring an umbrella; PAGASA forecasts heavy rain this afternoon." Which of the following is assumed by the speaker?

  1. PAGASA forecasts are generally reliable.
  2. It will surely rain this afternoon.
  3. Umbrellas are expensive.
  4. PAGASA forecasts are usually wrong.

Answer

A. PAGASA forecasts are generally reliable.

Solution

The advice only makes sense if the speaker trusts the forecast. The speaker does not assume rain is certain, only that the forecast is worth acting on.

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